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{ Main event favorites follow-up }
    
July 15, 2007 @ 6:27 am

After Day 1, with 2,340 players left in the main event, I picked 10 early main event favorites. Tomorrow is Day 6 with 36 players remaining. Recap on how my “horses” are doing/have done:

Carl Olson - 304th, $39,445

Daniel Alaei - still alive! 1,995,000

Bill Edler - still alive!  2,680,000

Darrell Dicken 323rd, $39,445

Rep Porter 39th, $237,865

David Pham - OOTM

Steven Jacobs 229th, $45,422

Brandon Adams 69th, $130,288

Michael Binger OOTM

Carlos Mortensen 217th, $51,398

Also, my friend Shane Schleger is at the WPT Bellagio Cup final table, here’s hoping he takes it down.

{ My final table airs in 10 minutes }
    
July 10, 2007 @ 5:53 pm

Just in case anyone stops by here I should probably post that my final table from this year’s WSOP is airing on ESPN in about 10 minutes (9 PM EST)

{ 10 early main event favorites. }
    
@ 4:03 pm

Just looking over the day 1 chip counts here are a few names who jump out near the top..

Carl Olson $226,100 - thoughtful player with tons of tournament experience. Tons of composure. Expect colson to make a deep run with this good start.

Daniel Alaei $187,700 - ditto with the added bonus that everyone is scared shitless of him.

Bill Edler $168,000 - just won a bracelet, his game is tough to put my finger on, which I think is a good sign

Darrell Dicken $155,400 - another guy who scares the crap out of everybody, has won a major tournament, probably one of the hungriest on my list

Rep Porter $147,600 - not a NL holdem specialist but an excellent poker professional with tons of tournament experience. Again valuing composure here as it doesn’t take 5th level thinking to outplay most of the players in the field.

David The Dragon $140,000 - obviously one of the sickest tournament players around, see no reason why he should win, either that or he will dump a huge stack in one hand. Lot of respect for this guy and another high “hungry” rating.

Steven Jacobs $124,700 - Penn grad, cut his teeth playing heads up online for ridiculous sums against me. Played a little bit with him on day 1, he pretty confidently check-called all his chips with top pair on the river (huge river bet after the guy had shown tons of strength) and was shown 7-high. In November 05 I got 27th at WPT Foxwoods, he got 10th, we were talking afterwards and he said something like “in the next yr I bet both of us will make a TV table, it’s pretty easy,” I wasn’t so sure, seemed pretty hard. It happened for me in April the next yr but he’s still due a deep run, I hope stevesbets can do it.

Brandon Adams $120,400 - Harvard genius, just won close to final table money against Farha which isn’t that relevant but pretty badass, really pesky aggressive game that sucks to go up against. Monster cash game success, yet to make the major tournament breakthrough but is due for a deep run I think.

Michael Binger $89,900 - almost cliche to mention hm, but I played a little bit with him when I went deep (surprise, he was deep also), and I was impressed with his game, very controlled aggression, finding good spots to pick up chips. Genius mold like Adams, must have a ton of confidence right now and obviously knows how to get deep in the main event, so won’t be surprised to see him around again.

Carlos Mortensen $86,800 - Just a winner plain and simple. Wouldn’t be surprised to see him win again.


{ Main event post (spoiler: I am out) }
    
July 9, 2007 @ 8:47 pm

I guess I will be honest because it’s kinda sad to lie in your blog, right, anyway I didn’t play great in my 7 or so hours in the main event.  I can think of three bad mistakes that I wouldn’t make if I were playing my best.

Ugly #1: It was folded to me in the small blind, i raised it to 1300 at 200/400 with Q9o. The big blind, a guy who had only been at the table for 10 minutes called. The flop was AKx, we both quickly checked. The turn blanked, I bet 1500, and he quickly called. The river was a blank, and for some reason I decided he had a king and would fold to 2000 more. I should have been done but for some reason I didn’t want to give it up, anyway the guy pretended to think about folding with A8 (1 pr) before obviously calling and scooping against my idiot bluff.

Ugly #2: Another hand I ended up limping with J8 on the button and we saw a 5-way unraised flop, which was 843 two-tone. One of the first limpers bet and I called, everyone else cleared out. The turn paired the 3, he checked and I bet nearly pot-sized, which he called pretty quickly. From what I had seen from this player I felt pretty sure I had the best hand as he had been playing his big hands very fast. I thought a draw was possible but put him on a small pair not wanting to fold. This guy seemed a little nutty, anyway the river was a 7 for a board of 84337, he checks, I almost just check but get greedy and bet about the same as on the turn, hoping for a call with something like A4, 55, or 66. Instead he promptly check-raised me huge, at which point it became obvious that he had 56, which to be honest I hadn’t even considered and should have. I folded and he showed me 56. In retrospect I think a check is better on the river since 77 also is a possibility, and this player is also capable of having Q8 K8 A8.

Ugly #3: This one is the ugliest and I don’t even want to get into it except to say that I had Ax on AAQJT and called a river bet when it was obvious my cards were worthless.

=-=-

At my starting table was cash game pro Brian Rast to my direct right and also Dewey Tomko across the table. One hand Dewey was in the big blind and there was a multi-way unraised pot. The flop was AT8 with 2 clubs, checked around. The turn was the 7 of clubs. The first limper kind of weakly bet half the pot, and the player on the button called. Now back to Dewey and he makes a big raise. Dewey has a reputation for playing pretty tight, but this just smelled like an old-school muscle play to me. At this point Brian whispers to me “guaranteed Dewey has at minimum a Q-high flush.” Hmm, interesting. “OK, I’ll take that action,” I tell him. “100?” he asks and we are on. We agree that in the case of no showdown, the bet is off. To be honest, this is what I’m expecting to happen–Dewey’s a legend for a reason and I figure the other two will fold without much thought. But it doesn’t happen that way, the initial bettor calls the raise after a short think. The river is an ace, and both players quickly check. Dewey cannot beat the man’s J9 straight, and I scoop Brian’s $100.

=-=-

Here are two hands that I guess I can’t leave out..

Hand where I flop good and triple up:  New table, i’m pretty short, tight foreign guy limps, i limp with 77, twitchy internet kid makes a biggish raise from the blinds, foreign guy quickly calls, i’m probably a little too short to call but feel like gambling closing the action. flop is T76 with 2 spades, kid makes a normal bet, foreign guy immediately goes all in, I have a little bit more than him. I obviously go all in, kid is thinking, thinking, says something like “I have a big hand here obviously since I’m thinking this long,” wanting a call I say “well you don’t have the Ace of spaces, I’ll tell you that much,” and right away he nod really seriously “You’re right, I don’t.” So soon after he goes “well he has a flush draw, I call,” and shows QQ, other guy has AA, I show my hand and say “I lied, I didn’t know you didn’t have the As” I fade 4 outs twice and all is well. Kid seemed stunned by what I said, was sure I had spades, I actually surprised myself here as I’ve never used or heard that line before that I can recall and just kind of came up with it on the spot. Hope it wasn’t too out of line but was short-stacked here and the kid seemed to be leaning towards laying it down as it was obvious other guy had a monster too.

Hand where I bust, eww gross: Weakish young player raises, I am pretty short-stacked but maybe this is a leak and I call with 55, Asian guy calls on the button. I flop a 5, we check around because I want to make sure I double up here, turn is a K, betting here would be pretty strong, so I check again and it checks around, now river pairs the 8, i have a full house, raiser bets out for most of my stack, I move in without thinking too much, which I kind of regret because maybe calling has some merit here given not busting is always nice. Oh yeah, the raiser had kings.

Ugh, this post feels over.  I’ll most likely play WPT Bellagio on Wednesday with all the other scrubs.

{ Worst blogger ever? }
    
July 6, 2007 @ 12:04 pm

I’m playing day 1A of the WSOP main event, which is today. I figured that just might give me enough time (4 days off if I make it through the day) to post about what happens today before day 2.

I owe you guys some kind of WSOP recap post and maybe a final table report post from event #3 and etc. Maybe I’ll make it to dinner break today and post there.

GL to me etc,

Alex